Monday, 28 February 2022
Friday, 25 February 2022
Wednesday, 23 February 2022
Monday, 21 February 2022
Friday, 18 February 2022
Thursday, 17 February 2022
Wednesday, 16 February 2022
What Will You Do When You Loose Your Job To AI?
Artificial Intelligence has three basic forms General, Narrow, and Super. It is the later that many thought leaders worry about, because of its immense potential to surpass our own intelligence by an order of magnitude.
Why worry? Who cares? Well all of us at some point in the near future because when we code AI we need a basic premiss or value, something like do good or improve the quality of life for humanity. The problem is that fully fledged Super AI may well carry out that command and remove the barriers to this end, perhaps eliminating a certain group of people who are perceived as being the problem! The other problem is that Super AI will do everything much better than we can, so why keep us around? If we are kept"around" what will we do, how will we structure our time? Our work, and our arts are much of who we are as a species and they give us meaning, without them will we become lost?
We can't slow down because it will not be done multilaterally, and one supper power cannot risk another getting Super AI first, we are in a AI race! Governments will try and use it to control populations, armies will use it to create weapons, financiers will use it to make profits, and big corporations will use it to outcompete competitors. Where does that leave the man (or woman) in the street? What will happen to democracy, how will we live when a machine controls our access to money and food?
Mars is beginning to look more attractive by the month, perhaps thats why Elon Musk gives himself a 70% chance of going there himself!! Makes you think, what does he really know that he's not telling us?
Tuesday, 15 February 2022
Monday, 14 February 2022
How To Balance Global Cooperation Versus National Sovereignty
Global Cooperation is in crisis! Multilateral institutions are in direct conflict with many National policies, where these policies are mandated to follow international interests, for example; climate change, pandemics, and financial instability, local politics often end up impinging on freedoms. A multilateral system featuring equal negotiating situations and effective dialog is needed.
Multilateral institutions must draw clear boundaries on the limits of their responsibilities or they may risk over reach. A multilateral system can be strengthened, so that when a global crisis strikes countries will have incentives to work collaboratively to mitigate the challenge.
Nowhere has this become more apparent than with the pandemic, which has seen growing opposition such as the Canadian Trucker blockades. Why has multinationalism run up against problems, not so much National Institutions but from the citizens they govern? In a word "Trust" or rather the lack thereof in politicians and big corporations as well as big tech.
Populations in democracies have now woken up to the fact that they have to stand up to protect those freedoms and governments and global institutions will have to prove they have their best interests at heart.
The question is are they willing to cut corruption out?
Friday, 11 February 2022
We Live In Rapidly Changing Times, So How Do Governments Manage Uncertainty?
It has become obvious that experts need to be brought in when we have a large scale crisis, and even then we need to be cognisant of political interference. The financial crisis of 2008, the migration crisis of 2015, the pandemic of 2020 all revealed deficiencies in the way governments respond to uncertainty. Even with warnings, actual plans and structures having been put in place, most countries and institutions were unprepared when these crises hit. In order to better respond experts need to be brought in early, and civil society must be more thoroughly involved. After all civic institutions are generally closer to the ground and therefore have greater local knowledge with vital information than governments. There is a need for more diverse and comprehensive information that can increase the ability to deliver effective and rapid responses.
Forced mass migrations are often the consequence of political turmoil or extreme climatic conditions. Governments around the world must become better at predicting and mitigating near-term political or climatical disasters. Financial and health crises need to be brought to equilibrium as soon as possible, a multifaceted, inclusive and analytical approach can ensure that we will be fairly well protected.
It is clear however that from recent events governments around the world are going to have to work overtime to gain back the trust of their citizens!
Thursday, 10 February 2022
Can We Rely On Governments To Respond To Climate Change?
We are told that the climate crisis is worsening but can we trust the science and can we trust governments? Are we in a normal climatic cycle or is this the result of carbon emissions? Addressing the climate issue is very complex and difficult with most of the efforts being market based, for example the emissions trading systems and direct carbon taxes. Here is the problem, governments are trying to make the public bear the costs of climate change mitigation.
Big Tech and Corporations will not simply pay for the Green New Deal, they will want to profit from the Great Reset. Are they going to buy up as many natural assets as possible and charge us to use them? Then there is the "time" factor, will we be in real danger in ten years or a thousand years?
The more one drills down into the issues facing climate change mitigation the more you realise that the interests of humanity have been usurped by politics and money, in effect greed.
The solution is for greater participation by the public, to ensure transparency in decision making that benefits the many not the few. Will this happen - we'll see!
Wednesday, 9 February 2022
Was The COP26 Summit Naive?
Governments efforts to address climate change to net-zero emissions to limit global warming to 1.5C has run into difficulties. Let's not kid ourselves solving climate change is a very big problem, and is creating negative social implications. Complete climate procrastination would mean impacting as much as 18% of global GDP.
However as climate change becomes more volatile and some countries recover more quickly than others from the pandemic, a disproportionate transition to net-zero could divide societies further apart. While some countries strongly advocate for decarbonisation, others stall.
Certain influencers are deliberately slowing down or at least scaling back the green transition. Governments need to balance the needs of the populations dependant on carbon-intensive industries with agreed climate commitments. Aggressive action by governments now would involve many disruptions, (i.e; job losses) but would alleviate long term environmental consequences. A slower transition would be more manageable, but would necessitate deeper, faster changes in the future.